Betting Updated NFL Super Bowl LIII Futures
With the first half of the 2018 NFL regular season in the books, all of the top online sports betting sites have recently updated their NFL betting futures to win the AFC and NFC as well as this year's Super Bowl. Following the results of a couple key matchups over the past two weeks games, the betting public has had a major impact on the current odds in reaction to those results.
Some Things Never Change in the AFC
The New England Patriots have been the perennial power team in the AFC during Bill Belichick's extended tenure as the team's head coach. You can also attribute much of this team's success to Tom Brady as one of the best quarterback to ever play the game.
They have teased bettors with more than one slow start over the years and that held suit this year with a 1-2 start both straight-up and against the spread. With a Week 10 romp over Green Bay to improve to 7-2 SU, the Patriot have quickly turned things around to gain the inside track to the top seed in the AFC given a head-to-head over Kansas City as the next best team in the conference.
New England's futures odds to win the AFC for the third-straight season top the list at +200 with Kansas City a close second at +220. Also in the mix as +550 third-favorites is 5-2-1 Pittsburgh with the 6-2 Los Angeles Chargers climbing the charts with a bullet at +600 betting odds.
All four teams offer solid value in their odds, but bet against the Patriots at your own peril as +500 second-favorites to win Super Bowl LIII.
Who is the Team to Beat in the NFC?
Most sports bettors may think that New Orleans answered this question with its 45-35 victory over the previously undefeated Los Angeles Rams at home in Week 10. The Saints are 7-1 overall with the Rams falling to 8-1 overall. New Orleans may have the edge for the top seed in the NFC, but it also plays in the toughest division against the 6-2 Carolina Panthers and the suddenly interesting Atlanta Falcons.
The betting public still thinks that the Rams are the best bet to win Super Bowl LIII as +350 favorites with New Orleans joining the Patriots as +500 second-favorites. Seeing how it is very possible that these two teams meet again in the NFC Championship, home field advantage could be the deciding factor the second time around.
Los Angeles is still favored to win the NFC at +180, but the value in the odds would shift to the Saints at +250 if that title game is also played in the Mercedes-Benz Superdome.
The Rams still have a win in hand in the standings, but there are a few potential stumbling blocks with games against Kansas City in Mexico City and Philadelphia at home down the road. The Saints still have a home game against Atlanta and two games against Carolina to get through as well as Philadelphia and Pittsburgh at home in one-two PA punch. Given each team's remaining schedule, I would give Los Angeles the slight edge.
Finding Value in the Ranks
The best value on the board when it comes to winning Super Bowl LIII would still be Kansas City at +550 betting odds. The Chiefs have the early edge over the Chargers in the AFC West with a Week 1 victory on the road. The neutral-site showdown against the Rams would be a toss-up, but Kansas City should be favored in their other remaining games.
If you are looking to stretch the odds a bit, do not go to sleep on either of those teams from the Keystone State. The Steelers (+1200 SB, +550 AFC) continue to gain momentum in the midst of a four-game winning streak and the defending champion Eagles (+2200 SB, +1200 NFC) appear poised to make a second-half run.