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Posted Sunday, July 16, 2017
by Rich Green @ 9:41 am CST

2017 NFL and NCAA Football Tips and Trends ATS

(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)

2017 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends
Here is a look before the 2017 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:

Air Force -- 5-0 ATS vs Boise State, 0-8 ATS vs Wyoming
Akron -- 5-1 ATS with Rest off a win, 0-9 ATS vs Bowling Green
Alabama -- 7-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs <21.5 pts, 0-5 ATS off back-to-back Straight Up losses
Appalachian State -- 6-0 ATS as Road Favs <19 points, 0-5 ATS off a shutout win
Arizona -- 4-1 ATS vs Utah, 0-5 ATS vs UCLA
Arizona State -- 11-0 ATS vs Washington, 2-9 ATS as beaten Favs
Arkansas -- 4-0 ATS vs Ole Miss, 1-7 ATS as beaten Favs
Arkansas State -- 7-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 0-4 ATS off a Double Digit ATS loss
Army -- 5-1 ATS vs Navy, 0-4 ATS vs Air Force
Auburn -- 4-1 ATS vs Lsu, 0-9 ATS as Double Digit Favs
Ball State -- 11-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 0-5 ATS vs Northern Illinois
Baylor -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS versus Kansas, 0-5 ATS versus Tcu
Boise State -- 8-2 ATS vs Fresno State, 0-5 ATS vs Air Force
Boston College -- 5-0 ATS before playing Wake Forest, 0-7 ATS before playing NC State
Bowling Green -- 6-0 ATS vs Ohio U, 1-7 ATS at Home with Rest
Buffalo -- 5-0 ATS at Kent State, 0-6 ATS at Akron
BYU -- 7-1 ATS with Revenge, 0-5 ATS with Rest
California -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Arizona, 1-7 ATS vs Usc
Central Michigan -- 3-0 ATS vs Ohio U, 0-7 ATS vs Toledo
Charlotte -- 3-1 ATS off a win, 2-10 ATS as Double Digit Dogs
Cincinnati -- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS vs East Carolina, 0-4 ATS vs Miami-Ohio
Clemson -- 4-1 ATS vs Georgia Tech, 0-3 ATS vs Wake Forest
Coastal Carolina -- First lined year, 10-2 last season Straight Up
Colorado -- 3-0 ATS vs Cal, 0-7 ATS vs Washington
Colorado State -- 4-0 ATS vs New Mexico, 0-3 ATS as Bowlers
Connecticut -- New Head Coach, 1-10 ATS vs Temple
Duke -- 0-6 ATS vs Florida State, 0-3 ATS vs Miami
East Carolina -- 10-2 ATS vs non-Conference foes, 2-10 ATS with Rest
Eastern Michigan -- 6-0 ATS after playing Toledo, 1-10 ATS off Double-Digit Straight Up win
Florida -- 9-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 1-7 ATS after scoring < a Touchdown
Florida Atlantic -- New Head Coach, 3-1 ATS vs Western Kentucky, 1-7 ATS vs Middle Tennessee State
Florida International -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs Florida Atlantic, 0-5 ATS vs good opponents
Florida State -- 5-0 ATS after playing NC State, 0-8 ATS after a SU Dog win
Fresno State -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS as beaten Favs, 2-8 ATS vs Boise State
Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-7 ATS with Rest
Georgia Southern -- 3-0 ATS vs Troy, 1-6 ATS as Favs
Georgia State -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS on the Road in non-Conference Play, 0-4 ATS at Home vs good rivals
Georgia Tech -- 5-0 ATS first lined game, 1-8 ATS at Virginia
Hawaii --5-2 ATS as Road Dogs, 0-4 ATS vs Colorado State
Houston -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS at Tulane, 0-5 ATS after scoring 3 or less points
Idaho -- 3-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 0-7 ATS as Double Digit Favs
Illinois -- 8-2 ATS in the second of back-to-back Home games, 4-12 ATS vs Northwestern
Indiana -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS Home as beaten Favs, 0-5 ATS with Rest
Iowa -- 7-0 ATS on the Road with Revenge, 0-8 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Iowa State -- 8-0 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts, 1-12 ATS after playing Texas Tech
Kansas -- 5-0 ATS vs Tcu, 0-8 ATS with Rest
Kansas State -- 5-0 ATS vs West Virginia, 4-8 ATS vs Texas Tech
Kent State -- 3-0 ATS vs Western Michigan, 0-6 ATS as Home Favs off SU loss
Kentucky -- 5-1 ATS off an ATS win, 1-9 ATS vs Florida
UL-Lafayette -- 4-0 ATS vs Texas State, 1-5 ATS as Weekday Favs
UL-Monroe -- 8-2 ATS after scoring less than a TD, 0-7 ATS vs Arkansas State
Louisiana Tech -- 4-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 0-4 ATS on the Road after scoring a TD or less
Louisville -- 9-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs off a SU win, 0-4 ATS as Conf Dogs after allowing >34.5 pts
LSU -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs Texas A&M, 0-4 ATS vs Alabama
Marshall -- 7-1 ATS after scoring 10 or less pts, 0-3 ATS vs Western Kentucky
Maryland -- 5-1 ATS on the Road vs opponents who are beaten Favs, 1-5 ATS as Double Digit Road Favs
Memphis -- 14-2 ATS in last Road game, 0-6 ATS as Weekday Favs
Miami -- 7-1 ATS vs Georgia Tech, 2-6 ATS at Home vs Virginia Tech
Miami OH -- 4-0 ATS vs Kent State, 2-7 ATS vs Marshall
Michigan -- 3-0 ATS vs Florida, 0-9 ATS vs Michigan State
Michigan State -- 9-0 ATS vs Michigan, 1-6 ATS vs Minnesota
MTSU -- 7-1 ATS vs Florida Atlantic, 0-3 ATS vs Florida International
Minnesota -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Michigan State, 0-7 ATS after playing Purdue
Mississippi -- 7-0 ATS before playing Alabama, 0-4 ATS vs Arkansas
Mississippi State -- 3-0 ATS vs Lsu, 0-9 ATS after playing Georgia
Missouri -- 55-4 ATS when they win Straight Up on the Road, 1-10 ATS away from Home
Navy -- 4-0 ATS vs Smu, 1-5 ATS vs Army
Nebraska -- 5-0 ATS after playing Illinois, 0-3 ATS vs Ohio State
Nevada -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Boise State, 0-3 ATS vs Air Force
New Mexico -- 4-0 ATS vs Wyoming, 0-4 vs Colorado State
New Mexico State -- 3-0 ATS vs New Mexico, 0-6 ATS vs Arkansas State
North Carolina -- 7-0 ATS before playing Georgia Tech, 0-5 ATS as DD Dogs off a DD SU win
North Carolina State -- 13-0 ATS as Dogs with Rest, 0-4 ATS before playing Boston College
North Texas -- 7-1 ATS at Home vs beaten Favs, 0-3 ATS vs Utep
Northern Illinois -- 12-0 ATS in Weekday Road games, 0-3 ATS vs Central Michigan
Northwestern -- 12-4 ATS vs Illinois, 1-9 ATS before playing Iowa
Notre Dame -- 5-0 ATS with Revenge off a win, 0-3 ATS vs Boston College
Ohio State -- 3-0 vs Nebraska, 0-6 ATS vs Indiana
Ohio U -- 3-0 ATS vs Kent, 0-6 ATS vs Bowling Green
Oklahoma -- 3-0 ATS vs Kansas, 0-4 ATS vs Texas
Oklahoma State -- 4-0 ATS at Texas, 1-5 ATS at Home vs Kansas State
Old Dominion -- 3-0 ATS vs Florida Atlantic, 1-7 ATS in non-Conference Play
Oregon -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs California, 0-7 ATS vs Washington State
Oregon State -- 16-3 ATS after playing Washington State, 0-4 ATS after Stanford
Penn State -- 4-1 ATS vs Akron, 0-4 ATS vs Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh -- 3-0 ATS vs Virginia Tech, 1-6 ATS off a SU Dog win
Purdue -- New Head Coach, 10-0 ATS as Road Dogs >11 pts, 1-10 ATS vs Wisconsin
Rice -- 7-0 ATS as Favs less than four points, 0-3 ATS vs Louisiana Tech
Rutgers -- 3-0 ATS vs Indiana, 0-5 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games
San Diego State -- 4-0 ATS before playing Hawaii, 0-5 ATS as Favs < TD with Revenge
San Jose State -- New Head Coach, 9-0 ATS as Road Favs off a Double Digit SU win, 0-4 ATS vs San Diego State
SMU -- 3-0 ATS as Road Favs, 0-12 ATS before playing Tulsa
South Alabama -- 3-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 0-4 ATS vs Arkansas State
South Carolina -- 6-2 ATS vs Clemson, 0-4 ATS vs Kentucky
South Florida -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS off a SU Dog win, 0-7 ATS as Weekday Favs off a win
Southern Mississippi -- 6-1 ATS as non-Conference Dogs <28 pts, 0-6 ATS versus Marshall
Stanford -- 4-0 ATS vs Ucla, 0-3 ATS vs Utah
Syracuse -- 8-1 ATS Home versus poor rivals,0-3 ATS vs Louisville
TCU -- 5-0 ATS vs Baylor, 0-5 ATS vs Kansas
Temple -- New Head Coach, 10-1 ATS vs UConn, 0-10 ATS as Favs <17 pts with Rest
Tennessee -- 6-1 ATS at Kentucky, 1-6 ATS after playing Florida
Texas -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Texas Tech, 2-8 ATS vs Kansas State
Texas A&M -- 4-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 0-11 ATS with Rest
Texas State -- 3-0 ATS vs UL-Monroe, 0-4 ATS vs UL-Lafayette
Texas Tech -- 6-1 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games, 0-6 ATS after playing TCU
Toledo -- 7-0 ATS vs Central Michigan, 0-5 ATS off a Double Digit loss
Troy -- 6-0 ATS off back-to-back SU and ATS losses, 0-5 ATS vs Arkansas State
Tulane -- 7-1 ATS at Smu, 0-6 ATS at Home vs Houston
Tulsa -- 10-1 ATS after playing Smu, 1-10 ATS as non-Conf Favs
UAB -- returns after two year layoff, 5-1 ATS vs Southern Miss, 1-5 ATS with Rest
UCF -- 5-1 ATS on the Road after allowing Single Digit pts, 1-9 ATS as Dogs >10.5 pts
UCLA -- 5-0 ATS vs Arizona, 0-4 ATS vs Stanford
UMASS -- 5-0 ATS vs the SEC, 1-8 ATS with Revenge
UNLV -- 7-0 ATS Weekday Home games, 0-5 ATS vs San Jose State
USC -- 7-1 ATS vs Cal, 1-8 ATS as Dogs
Utah -- 4-0 ATS vs Arizona State, 0-6 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts
Utah State -- 5-0 ATS away with Rest, 1-9 ATS before playing Nevada
UTEP -- 3-0 ATS vs North Texas, 1-5 ATS vs Rice
UTSA -- 4-1 ATS vs Louisiana Tech, 1-5 ATS as beaten Favs
Vanderbilt -- 4-0 ATS vs Georgia, 2-14 ATS in Game Six
Virginia -- 8-1 ATS at Home vs Georgia Tech, 0-9 ATS as Favs vs above avg opponents
Virginia Tech -- 8-2 ATS as Road Dogs, 0-3 ATS vs Pittsburgh
Wake Forest -- 6-0 ATS before playing Clemson, 0-13 ATS as Favs >13 pts
Washington -- 6-0 ATS on Weekdays, 0-11 ATS vs Arizona State
Washington State -- 7-0 ATS vs Oregon, 0-5 ATS on Weekdays
West Virginia -- 4-1 ATS vs Texas, 0-5 ATS as Home Favs <5 pts
Western Kentucky -- New Head Coach, 3-0 ATS vs Marshall, 1-3 ATS vs Florida Atlantic
Western Michigan -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS vs Akron, 2-12 ATS vs Northern Illinois
Wisconsin -- 7-0 ATS after playing Illinois, 0-5 ATS at Home vs Iowa
Wyoming -- 8-0 ATS vs Air Force, 0-5 ATS after scoring at least 35 points


Here is a look before the 2017 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:

Arizona -- 9-1 ATS as Dog vs below avg opponents, 5-0 ATS as non-Division Home Dogs, 4-11 ATS at Home, 0-6 ATS on Thursdays vs above average rivals
Atlanta -- 10-2 ATS on Thursdays, 8-1 ATS off MNF, 0-4 ATS vs New England, 1-6 ATS before playing Tampa Bay
Baltimore -- 5-0 ATS as Division Dogs, 7-0 ATS vs Miami, 0-6 ATS as Dogs on Thursdays, 0-8 ATS vs the AFC West
Buffalo -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS off Thursday games, 4-0 ATS vs Denver, 0-5 ATS vs Oakland, 1-5 ATS as Road Favs
Carolina -- 8-1 ATS at San Francisco, 4-0 ATS vs New England, 1-5 ATS before playing Atlanta, 0-5 ATS vs Miami
Chargers -- New Head Coach, New Home City, 15-1 ATS vs AFC South, 6-0 ATS vs Jacksonville, 0-8 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 1-5 ATS with Rest
Chicago -- 15-3 ATS before playing Detroit, 5-1 ATS after playing Minnesota, 1-8 ATS Home off non-Conference Play, 2-12 ATS before playing Minnesota
Cincinnati -- 12-1 ATS as non-Division Home Dogs, 5-0 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts, 2-8 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 0-4 ATS after playing Cleveland
Cleveland -- 5-2 ATS vs Tennessee, 5-0 ATS vs the Chargers, 1-8 ATS at Home vs Baltimore, 2-10 ATS in Division Play
Dallas -- 6-0 ATS as Double Digit Dogs, 6-0 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 1-8 ATS vs the NFC South, 1-7 ATS on Thursdays
Denver -- New Head Coach, 8-2 ATS vs Oakland, 6-1 ATS with Rest, 0-4 ATS after allowing less than a TD, 0-6 ATS at Indianapolis
Detroit -- 5-0 ATS with Rest, 4-1 ATS at the Giants, 0-9 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 1-12 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts
Green Bay -- 5-0 ATS after playing Chicago, 9-1 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 1-4 ATS vs New Orleans
Houston -- 6-1 ATS before playing Jacksonville, 5-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-6 ATS on Thursdays, 1-9 ATS on MNF
Indianapolis -- 12-2 ATS on Thursdays, 9-1 ATS vs Denver, 1-5 ATS before playing Jacksonville, 0-4 ATS before MNF
Jacksonville -- New Head Coach, 6-1 ATS with Rest, 5-1 ATS after playing Tennessee, 0-5 ATS as Favs of at least a TD, 1-7 ATS before playing Indianapolis
Kansas City -- 7-0 ATS vs AFC East, 6-0 ATS vs Washington, 1-7 ATS off MNF, 1-9 ATS after playing Oakland
Miami -- 4-0 ATS vs Oakland, 5-0 ATS vs Carolina, 0-7 ATS vs Baltimore, 1-5 ATS vs Jets
Minnesota -- 8-0 ATS before Bye Week, 15-4 ATS as Home Dogs, 1-6 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS on the Road on MNF
New England -- 9-1 ATS after playing Miami, 10-1 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-7 ATS vs Jets, 0-4 ATS vs Carolina
New Orleans -- 5-0 ATS on the Road vs NFC North, 7-1 ATS after playing Tampa Bay, 0-5 ATS vs Washington, 0-5 ATS in first of back-to-back Road games
NY Giants -- 5-0 ATS vs Dallas, 8-0 ATS vs the Rams, 0-5 ATS Home vs NFC West, 0-4 ATS vs Denver
NY Jets -- 8-0 ATS vs Tampa Bay, 7-1 ATS vs New England, 1-6 ATS vs Kansas City, 0-6 ATS on the Road vs AFC West
Oakland -- 5-0 ATS after scoring a TD or less, 5-0 ATS vs Buffalo, 1-8 ATS before playing the Chargers, 0-4 ATS vs Miami
Philadelphia -- 4-0 ATS vs the Rams, 7-1 ATS off 3+ SU losses, 1-6 ATS after playing Dallas, 0-4 ATS vs the NFC West
Pittsburgh -- 6-0 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts, 6-1 ATS at Cincinnati, 0-5 ATS after playing Cincinnati, 1-6 ATS on the Road vs AFC West
Rams-- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS vs Jacksonville, 13-0 ATS as Favs after scoring 35 or > points, 0-8 ATS vs Giants, 2-9 ATS at Home vs NFC North
San Francisco -- New Head Coach, 11-1 ATS on MNF, 3-0 ATS vs the Rams, 0-5 ATS with Rest, 1-10 ATS vs Seattle
Seattle -- 7-0 ATS on Thursdays, 10-1 ATS vs San Francisco, 1-5 ATS vs the NFC South, 1-7 ATS Home with Rest
Tampa Bay -- 6-0 ATS on the Road vs NFC East, 7-0 ATS as Road Dogs after scoring at least 35 pts, 1-7 ATS on Thursdays, 2-10 ATS after playing New Orleans
Tennessee -- 6-1 ATS as Double Digit Favs, 5-0 ATS on MNF, 0-8 ATS before Thursday Play, 1-8 ATS off MNF
Washington -- 5-0 ATS before Thursday play, 5-0 ATS as beaten Favs, 1-13 ATS at Home on MNF, 0-6 ATS vs Kansas City


2017 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips
Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as John Holliday, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.

Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.

If Seattle for example, early in the season, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say Atlanta, a lesser out of Division team, be careful! Seattle will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against Atlanta, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.

Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!

Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ˝ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.

Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.

NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.

Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2017 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!

--Rich Green
Editor@FreeSportsLetter.com
http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com


Rich Green is the editor of FreeSportsLetter.com, a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over twenty-five years and specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, having won numerous contests in each.

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